Table 4 GCT Analysis
From: VAR, ARIMAX and ARIMA models for nowcasting unemployment rate in Ghana using Google trends
Granger causality Test (squared residual (SSR) based F test) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Acceptance letter Lag 1 p(v): 0.2038 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0041 | Distance education Lag 1 p(v): 0.2601 Lag 2 p(v): 0.1064 | Graduation Lag 1 p(v): 0.0968 Lag 2 p(v): 0.4066 | Loan application Lag 1 p(v): 0.2634 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0340 | School admission Lag 1 p(v): 0.0393 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0214 |
American lottery Lag 1 p(v): 0.7104 Lag 2 p(v): 0.8864 | Distance learning Lag 1 p(v): 0.5602 Lag 2 p(v): 0.8839 | Health insurance Lag 1 p(v): 0.0019 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0574 | Mining jobs Lag 1 p(v): 0.7852 Lag 2 p(v): 0.1818 | Trade Lag 1 p(v): 0.3928 Lag 2 p(v): 0.7702 |
Application for employment Lag 1 p(v): 0.1214 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0350 | Employment letter Lag 1 p(v): 0.4170 Lag 2 p(v): 0.5553 | How to make money Lag 1 p(v): 0.0000 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0000 | Nursing schools Lag 1 p(v): 0.0125 Lag 2 p(v): 0.1505 | Trading Lag 1 p(v): 0.000 Lag 2 p(v): 0.000 |
application letter Lag 1 p(v): 0.9501 Lag 2 p(v): 0.1191 | Employment Lag 1 p(v): 0.0279 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0353 | How to start a business Lag 1 p(v): 0.0000 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0000 | Nursing training Lag 1 p(v): 0.2080 Lag 2 p(v): 0.4708 | training college Lag 1 p(v): 0.4841 Lag 2 p(v): 0.4856 |
Business opportunities Lag 1 p(v): 0.5516 Lag 2 p(v): 0.4648 | Entrepreneur Lag 1 p(v): 0.4588 Lag 2 p(v): 0.1039 | Income tax Lag 1 p(v): 0.0012 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0156 | Online application Lag 1 p(v): 0.4383 Lag 2 p(v): 0.3724 | Unemployment Lag 1 p(v): 0.0970 Lag 2 p(v): 0.1388 |
Career Lag 1 p(v): 0.0843 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0015 | Exchange rate Lag 1 p(v): 0.7634 Lag 2 p(v): 0.7559 | Job application Lag 1 p(v): 0.1591 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0143 | Online jobs Lag 1 p(v): 0.0001 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0036 | USA jobs Lag 1 p(v): 0.2268 Lag 2 p(v): 0.2227 |
companies in Ghana Lag 1 p(v): 0.0031 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0534 | Foreign Exchange Lag 1 p(v): 0.1086 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0025 | Job interview Lag 1 p(v): 0.0815 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0443 | Online money Lag 1 p(v): 0.0322 Lag 2 p(v): 0.1039 | USA visa Lag 1 p(v): 0.0000 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0000 |
Cover letter Lag 1 p(v): 0.1414 Lag 2 p(v): 0.1310 | Ghana economy Lag 1 p(v): 0.7133 Lag 2 p(v): 0.8431 | Job opportunities Lag 1 p(v): 0.2461 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0003 | Online schools Lag 1 p(v): 0.3268 Lag 2 p(v): 0.5662 | Vacancy Lag 1 p(v): 0.7254 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0453 |
Curriculum vitae Lag 1 p(v): 0.0135 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0130 | Ghana jobs Lag 1 p(v): 0.1970 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0301 | Jobs in Ghana Lag 1 p(v): 0.1561 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0300 | police recruitment Lag 1 p(v): 0.0026 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0004 | Visa application Lag 1 p(v): 0.3595 Lag 2 p(v): 0.1187 |
Cv Lag 1 p(v): 0.8731 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0609 | Graduate Lag 1 p(v): 0.1661 Lag 2 p(v): 0.3506 | Jobs in USA Lag 1 p(v): 0.4430 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0679 | Scholarship Lag 1 p(v): 0.4433 Lag 2 p(v): 0.0009 | Visa Lag 1 p(v): 0.1565 Lag 2 p(v): 0.1066 |